Logic circles a strange phenomenon

Logic circles a strange phenomenon

Photo by Agent J on Unsplash

Originally published 3 January 2000

My sis­ter gave me a crop cir­cle cal­en­dar for Christ­mas. That’s right, the Llewellyn’s 2000 Crop Cir­cle Cal­en­dar, most of the con­tents of which are drawn from the bucol­ic coun­try­side of south­ern Eng­land, the Holy Land of the crop cir­cle phenomenon.

Crop cir­cles are designs of flat­tened stalks that appear overnight in fields of wheat, corn, bar­ley or canola. The first doc­u­ment­ed designs, in the 1970s, were sim­ple cir­cles, of the sort that might have been made by a small whirl­wind or frol­ick­ing hedge­hogs. The designs have become increas­ing­ly com­plex, but most still have a cir­cu­lar pat­tern at their core.

In fact, crop cir­cles have become so com­plex that no one any longer doubts that they are made by intel­li­gent beings.

The ques­tion is, what intel­li­gent beings?

In the minds of the New Age faith­ful, the answer usu­al­ly involves alien space­craft, a cos­mic con­scious­ness, or even an intel­li­gent spir­it of the Earth itself.

Skep­tics are inclined to locate the “intel­li­gent beings” with­in the human fam­i­ly: hoax­ers, crop cir­cle “artists,” or even the farm­ers who own the fields and charge admis­sion to the circles.

Which brings me to why I received the cal­en­dar for Christmas.

I’m pret­ty much the com­plete skep­tic. Like Sergeant Joe Fri­day, I want to see “the facts, M’am, just the facts.” If I don’t know the answer to some­thing — the ori­gin of crop cir­cles, con­scious­ness, or life — I’ll opt for the hypoth­e­sis that evokes the fewest spooky pow­ers. That’s the sci­en­tif­ic way.

My sis­ter, on the oth­er hand, was a New Ager before the New Age was born. She enthu­si­as­ti­cal­ly embraces every para­nor­mal phe­nom­e­non that comes down the pike: crop cir­cles, alien abduc­tions, crys­tal pow­er, body auras. If sci­ence can’t prove it wrong, she’ll give her assent.

For her, the crop cir­cle cal­en­dar with its stun­ning aer­i­al pho­tographs of intri­cate cere­al designs is pri­ma facie evi­dence of a para­nor­mal force that no one can explain. She is baf­fled that I am so unre­cep­tive to what are obvi­ous­ly mes­sages from the tran­shu­man forces that (she believes) per­me­ate the universe.

For me, the crop cir­cles are impres­sive pre­cise­ly because they are human arti­facts. They demon­strate what an inge­nious prankster can do with stakes, string, and a board, or maybe a gar­den roller.

What we are talk­ing about here are two atti­tudes towards evi­dence or the lack of it. I am a Skep­tic. My sis­ter is a True Believer.

Skep­tics are reluc­tant to believe any­thing with­out repro­ducible empir­i­cal evi­dence. They accept the evolv­ing nature of truth and are will­ing to live with a mea­sure of uncer­tain­ty. They are always a lit­tle lost in the com­plex­i­ty of the cos­mos, but they trust the pow­er of the human mind to make sense of things. Their cen­tral arti­cle of faith (yes, even Skep­tics have faith) is Ock­ham’s Razor: Nev­er assume a com­pli­cat­ed expla­na­tion when a sim­ple one will do.

True Believ­ers are less con­fi­dent that humans can sort things out for them­selves. They look for answers from God, spir­its, celes­tial pow­ers, or extrater­res­tri­als. They are will­ing to believe what­ev­er makes them feel good, pro­vid­ed the counter-evi­dence is not over­whelm­ing. They reside at the psy­cho­log­i­cal cen­ter of a uni­verse pro­por­tioned to the human scale, and they are con­vinced that some high­er pow­er takes note of their existence.

Why are some peo­ple Skep­tics and oth­ers True Believ­ers? My sis­ter and I were brought up in the same envi­ron­ment, with more or less the same school­ing. We share most of our genes. And yet on the mat­ter of crop cir­cles — and a host of sim­i­lar issues — we are as dif­fer­ent as night and day.

As best I can recall, I was a Skep­tic from the cra­dle. My sis­ter was born a True Believ­er. So is there a Skep­tic gene? A True Believ­er gene? It’s hard to believe that genes spin­ning pro­teins could account for such dif­fer­ences of intel­lec­tu­al attitude.

What­ev­er the expla­na­tion, the evi­dence sug­gests that we are over­whelm­ing­ly a nation of True Believ­ers. Polls show that more peo­ple are inter­est­ed in astrol­o­gy than astron­o­my, and more peo­ple are inter­est­ed in angels than atoms. The New Age sec­tions of book stores are invari­ably big­ger than the sci­ence sections.

No one can live with­out some mea­sure of unsub­stan­ti­at­ed faith, but sci­ence can only thrive among Skep­tics. Our con­fi­dence in sci­en­tif­ic knowl­edge is based on sys­tem­atized doubt; a suc­cess­ful sci­en­tif­ic idea must run a fierce gaunt­let of peer review. A sci­en­tist must always be ready to say, “I don’t know.”

I don’t know who or what made the beau­ti­ful crop cir­cles in my Christ­mas cal­en­dar, but I’d be will­ing to bet that it was humans. Not because I think alien space­ships are an absolute impos­si­bil­i­ty, but because a Skep­tic always opts for the least exot­ic expla­na­tion. We know that humans are clever enough to make these won­der­ful arti­facts, and we know that the world is full of mis­chie­vous hoax­ers with a sense of humor. The evi­dence for extrater­res­tri­als is dicey at best.

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